Industry CapEx Cycle Drill-down

MSCI ACWI · consensus CapEx forward growth · 24M ÷ 12M − 1 · composition-controlled same-company base · latest 14 Jul 2026
Included Industries
60
Excluded Industries
13
Thin baskets
4
Concentration warnings
9

Choose a Sector

Largest consensus CapEx forward-growth signals

IndustrySectorForward growth5Y signalNext-12M CapExStatus
Technology Hardware, Storage & PeripheralsInformation Technology+14.7%+4.92$148.9bnConcentrated
Semiconductors & Semiconductor EquipmentInformation Technology+13.7%+3.27$226.0bnCore
Interactive Media & ServicesCommunication Services+15.6%+3.03$624.0bnConcentrated
Gas UtilitiesUtilities+2.8%+2.71$23.1bnCore
Industrial ConglomeratesIndustrials+15.0%+2.50$29.5bnCore
BiotechnologyHealth Care+5.2%+2.20$8.8bnCore
PharmaceuticalsHealth Care-2.4%-2.03$65.5bnCore
Transportation InfrastructureIndustrials+12.5%+2.00$11.3bnCore
Communications EquipmentInformation Technology+7.8%+1.97$7.5bnCore
Health Care Equipment & SuppliesHealth Care+6.1%+1.93$19.1bnCore
AutomobilesConsumer Discretionary-2.0%-1.73$207.5bnCore
Hotels, Restaurants & LeisureConsumer Discretionary+3.7%+1.66$33.9bnCore
Paper & Forest ProductsMaterials-6.6%+1.60$4.3bnThin basketConcentrated
IT ServicesInformation Technology-0.4%-1.54$48.3bnConcentrated
MediaCommunication Services-11.6%-1.49$13.0bnConcentrated
Communication Services5 included · 0 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Interactive Media & Services$624.0bn+15.6%+3.0315100.0%35.6%95.5%Concentrated
Diversified Telecommunication Services$220.8bn-0.8%+0.473297.1%32.3%52.1%Core
Wireless Telecommunication Services$75.2bn+1.8%+0.8324100.0%13.1%33.8%Core
Entertainment$15.2bn+2.4%-0.1825100.0%57.8%72.9%Concentrated
Media$13.0bn-11.6%-1.49890.9%80.8%87.5%Concentrated
Consumer Discretionary7 included · 3 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Broadline Retail$247.5bn+8.1%+1.241991.3%87.5%96.5%Concentrated
Automobiles$207.5bn-2.0%-1.734089.1%12.8%30.8%Core
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure$33.9bn+3.7%+1.6641100.0%13.8%35.8%Core
Specialty Retail$29.3bn-0.6%-0.263397.1%14.5%33.8%Core
Automobile Components$22.2bn-0.1%-0.412192.3%11.8%33.4%Core
Household Durables$17.1bn+0.5%+0.041694.4%22.9%52.0%Core
Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods$14.9bn+4.0%-0.7220100.0%37.5%54.8%Core
Excluded Industries (3)
IndustrySame-base companiesForward-growth monthsCoverageReason
Distributors3169100.0%matched securities < 5
Diversified Consumer Services3169100.0%matched securities < 5
Leisure Products2169100.0%matched securities < 5
Consumer Staples6 included · 0 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail$79.1bn+2.0%+1.003797.4%33.1%47.6%Core
Food Products$36.6bn+0.2%+0.755098.1%14.4%24.9%Core
Beverages$32.6bn+1.2%-0.113397.1%13.8%34.7%Core
Household Products$9.9bn+3.2%+1.0611100.0%41.3%62.8%Core
Personal Care Products$6.9bn+3.2%+0.6514100.0%28.4%65.6%Core
Tobacco$5.0bn+0.6%-0.828100.0%30.8%71.8%Core
Energy2 included · 0 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels$544.2bn-1.7%-0.958196.6%9.5%23.3%Core
Energy Equipment & Services$7.4bn+2.2%-0.748100.0%26.6%59.4%Core
Financials0 included · 6 excluded

No Industries pass the current gates.

Excluded Industries (6)
IndustrySame-base companiesForward-growth monthsCoverageReason
Banks2710614.2%coverage < 70%
Financial Services1416943.2%coverage < 70%
Capital Markets4516949.5%coverage < 70%
Insurance1716921.0%coverage < 70%
Consumer Finance01429.1%matched securities < 5; coverage < 70%
Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)000.0%matched securities < 5; forward-growth observations < 60; coverage < 70%
Health Care5 included · 1 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Pharmaceuticals$65.5bn-2.4%-2.035693.5%10.9%29.0%Core
Health Care Providers & Services$26.8bn+4.2%+0.2327100.0%19.7%45.8%Core
Health Care Equipment & Supplies$19.1bn+6.1%+1.933497.2%12.5%32.2%Core
Life Sciences Tools & Services$12.8bn-0.9%+0.6321100.0%15.1%37.6%Core
Biotechnology$8.8bn+5.2%+2.202391.2%27.8%55.2%Core
Excluded Industries (1)
IndustrySame-base companiesForward-growth monthsCoverageReason
Health Care Technology2169100.0%matched securities < 5
Industrials14 included · 0 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Electrical Equipment$53.1bn-5.0%-1.005198.5%14.1%35.9%Core
Passenger Airlines$47.5bn+3.9%+0.451484.2%16.0%37.4%Core
Construction & Engineering$42.6bn-1.0%-0.3724100.0%18.0%46.9%Core
Aerospace & Defense$41.4bn+2.8%-0.533697.8%11.6%28.7%Core
Machinery$41.2bn+1.1%+0.747496.3%8.2%19.7%Core
Trading Companies & Distributors$37.2bn-3.2%-0.9920100.0%13.5%39.8%Core
Ground Transportation$36.0bn+7.9%+0.5118100.0%13.4%35.9%Core
Industrial Conglomerates$29.5bn+15.0%+2.502492.6%21.5%44.1%Core
Marine Transportation$29.0bn-2.0%+0.221386.7%19.5%50.1%Core
Air Freight & Logistics$18.3bn+4.3%+0.7014100.0%21.7%59.4%Core
Commercial Services & Supplies$13.1bn+1.1%+1.031488.9%21.4%47.3%Core
Transportation Infrastructure$11.3bn+12.5%+2.0018100.0%15.7%45.0%Core
Building Products$9.9bn+1.3%+0.8418100.0%24.4%54.0%Core
Professional Services$5.2bn+3.8%+0.2619100.0%14.5%37.2%Core
Information Technology6 included · 0 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Software$314.8bn+10.9%+0.414391.2%57.4%94.3%Concentrated
Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment$226.0bn+13.7%+3.277996.3%26.9%61.0%Core
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals$148.9bn+14.7%+4.923094.3%37.7%85.0%Concentrated
Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components$59.6bn+0.6%+1.105195.7%10.3%21.0%Core
IT Services$48.3bn-0.4%-1.5429100.0%76.2%82.9%Concentrated
Communications Equipment$7.5bn+7.8%+1.971388.0%17.3%38.9%Core
Materials5 included · 0 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Metals & Mining$189.1bn-6.4%-0.518495.7%5.7%17.0%Core
Chemicals$78.2bn-1.2%+0.167397.5%7.0%19.6%Core
Construction Materials$20.9bn-0.8%+0.761494.4%14.8%36.4%Core
Containers & Packaging$7.9bn-0.9%+1.048100.0%31.7%67.1%Core
Paper & Forest Products$4.3bn-6.6%+1.605100.0%55.4%86.4%Thin basketConcentrated
Real Estate5 included · 3 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Real Estate Management & Development$28.9bn+0.2%-0.394594.0%12.4%32.4%Core
Specialized REITs$13.5bn-0.8%+0.391090.9%32.2%75.3%Core
Industrial REITs$3.2bn+2.2%-0.375100.0%53.0%91.7%Thin basketConcentrated
Retail REITs$2.8bn-6.6%+0.649100.0%37.0%59.1%Core
Residential REITs$0.9bn+2.0%-0.92583.3%29.7%68.4%Thin basket
Excluded Industries (3)
IndustrySame-base companiesForward-growth monthsCoverageReason
Health Care REITs2119100.0%matched securities < 5
Diversified REITs416983.3%matched securities < 5
Office REITs2169100.0%matched securities < 5
Utilities5 included · 0 excluded
IndustryNext-12M CapExForward growth5Y signalSame-base companiesCoverageTop 1Top 3Status
Electric Utilities$319.5bn+4.4%+0.545498.2%9.9%21.0%Core
Multi-Utilities$118.9bn+5.2%+0.9420100.0%13.9%33.8%Core
Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers$105.7bn-4.6%-0.653091.2%10.7%26.1%Core
Gas Utilities$23.1bn+2.8%+2.7115100.0%19.6%43.9%Core
Water Utilities$12.9bn+4.8%+0.065100.0%28.0%76.2%Thin basket
Signal. Forward growth is aggregate 24M consensus ÷ aggregate 12M consensus − 1. The same-company requirement controls composition; it does not change the formula.

Eligibility. An Industry is charted when the latest same-company basket contains at least 5 security IDs, the forward-growth series has at least 60 valid monthly observations, and latest strict FY1-FY3 calendarization coverage is at least 70%. There is no capex-dollar or parent-sector-share gate. Baskets with fewer than 7 companies are labelled thin. Top-one CapEx share above 50% or top-three share above 80% is labelled concentrated but remains included. Industry and Sector labels use current Bloomberg GICS classifications backcast across point-in-time ACWI membership.